Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000231 0.000259 0.000288 0.000321 0.000359 0.000400 0.000447
2025-01-26 0.000191 0.000228 0.000270 0.000321 0.000383 0.000453 0.000541
2025-02-02 0.000171 0.000215 0.000269 0.000338 0.000425 0.000531 0.000670
2025-02-09 0.000151 0.000200 0.000261 0.000344 0.000455 0.000596 0.000790
2025-02-16 0.000134 0.000186 0.000253 0.000349 0.000481 0.000658 0.000913
2025-02-23 0.000119 0.000171 0.000243 0.000348 0.000500 0.000711 0.001027
2025-03-02 0.000105 0.000157 0.000230 0.000343 0.000510 0.000752 0.001127
2025-03-09 0.000095 0.000146 0.000222 0.000341 0.000525 0.000800 0.001242
2025-03-16 0.000086 0.000138 0.000215 0.000341 0.000542 0.000852 0.001367
2025-03-23 0.000079 0.000130 0.000210 0.000343 0.000561 0.000908 0.001501
2025-03-30 0.000073 0.000123 0.000203 0.000341 0.000574 0.000953 0.001623
2025-04-06 0.000068 0.000117 0.000198 0.000343 0.000593 0.001011 0.001769
2025-04-13 0.000063 0.000112 0.000195 0.000345 0.000614 0.001078 0.001941
2025-04-20 0.000057 0.000105 0.000187 0.000341 0.000624 0.001124 0.002083
2025-04-27 0.000055 0.000104 0.000190 0.000357 0.000670 0.001238 0.002358
2025-05-04 0.000052 0.000100 0.000188 0.000362 0.000697 0.001322 0.002586
2025-05-11 0.000049 0.000096 0.000186 0.000366 0.000722 0.001403 0.002816
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000092 0.000181 0.000365 0.000738 0.001468 0.003020
2025-05-25 0.000042 0.000086 0.000174 0.000358 0.000742 0.001510 0.003182
2025-06-01 0.000039 0.000082 0.000169 0.000356 0.000755 0.001570 0.003387
2025-06-08 0.000036 0.000079 0.000165 0.000357 0.000772 0.001641 0.003620
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000076 0.000163 0.000358 0.000792 0.001719 0.003877
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000072 0.000158 0.000356 0.000803 0.001779 0.004100